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Politics

Democrat Adam Hamilton Leads in Kansas Senate Race, Poll Shows

A recent poll indicates Democrat Adam Hamilton holds a slight lead over Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in the race for Kansas's U.S. Senate seat.

AI IMAGEAI-generated illustration by Studio z-image. Not a photograph of the event.

In a closely watched race for the U.S. Senate, Democrat Adam Hamilton currently leads Republican incumbent Roger Marshall in the polls, with 49% of voter support compared to Marshall's 45%, according to a recent Emerson College poll 1. This poll, which also includes Libertarian candidate David Graham with 3% support and 3% of voters remaining undecided, highlights the competitive nature of the race 12.

The poll's credibility interval of 3.5% suggests that while Hamilton holds a lead, the outcome of the election is still uncertain and could be influenced by factors such as voter turnout and last-minute campaign efforts 1. The race for Kansas's U.S. Senate seat is part of a larger trend of closely contested races in the Midwest, where both parties are vying for control of key Senate seats 2.

This poll underscores the significance of the upcoming election in Kansas, where the Democratic Party aims to challenge the incumbent Republican hold on the Senate seat. With just a few percentage points separating the top candidates, the race remains tight and could potentially shift in favor of either Hamilton or Marshall as Election Day approaches 12.

What we know

  • - Adam Hamilton leads with 49% of voter support 1
  • - Roger Marshall trails with 45% of voter support 1
  • - David Graham has 3% of voter support 1
  • - 3% of voters remain undecided 1
  • - Emerson College's poll has a credibility interval of 3.5% 1

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Verification report

64%
Partly unverified
Automated confidence estimate, weighted across 10 claims from 2 outlets. Each claim is scored by how many independent, reliable newsrooms support or contradict it. Method
  • likely
    In the Kansas US Senate race, Democrat Adam Hamilton leads with 49% of voter support.
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    Republican incumbent Roger Marshall has 45% of voter support in the same race.
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    Libertarian David Graham has 3% of voter support.
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    3% of voters remain undecided in the race.
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    Emerson College's poll has a credibility interval of 3.5%
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    Adam Hamilton is leading in the Kansas Senate race.
    71% · supported by 1
  • likely
    Roger Marshall is trailing in the Kansas Senate race.
    71% · supported by 1
  • unverified
    The poll shows Hamilton with 48.7% support.
    50% · supported by 1, contradicted by 1
  • unverified
    The poll shows Marshall with 45.2% support.
    50% · supported by 1, contradicted by 1
  • unverified
    A libertarian candidate received 2.9% support.
    50% · supported by 1, contradicted by 1

Sources & references

  1. Courthouse News — Poll shows Democrat ahead in Kansas US Senate race · 2026-10-30
  2. The Hill Campaign — Hamilton holds slight lead over Marshall in Kansas Senate contest: Poll · 2026-10-30 · headline & summary only

This article is an original synthesis written by Jessi. It does not reproduce the text of the outlets above; it cross-references their reporting and links to them so you can read the originals.

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