Democrat Janelle Stelson has won the U.S. House seat for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District, flipping it from red to blue.

Janelle Stelson secured a decisive victory in the U.S. House election for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, marking a significant shift in the political landscape of the region. With 56.5% of the vote, Stelson outperformed her Republican opponent, Scott Perry, who garnered 43.5% of the ballots cast. This outcome flips the traditionally Republican-held district into Democratic hands, a notable change following Perry’s narrow win in 2024 by just over 5,100 votes.
Perry, who has represented the district since 2013, faced criticism from Stelson during the campaign for his support of changes to Medicaid policy. She argued that these changes had led to Pennsylvanians losing their health insurance coverage. Perry countered this claim by emphasizing his vote to remove illegal immigrants from Medicaid eligibility, defending his position on healthcare reform.
The race was closely watched by political analysts, with the Cook Political Report initially rating it as a 'toss-up' before shifting its prediction to 'leans Democrat.' Stelson’s campaign received endorsements from key figures such as Governor Josh Shapiro and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, while Perry enjoyed backing from House Speaker Mike Johnson and RNC Chairman Joe Gruters.
The 10th District encompasses Dauphin County and parts of Cumberland and York counties, making it a crucial area for both parties. The election results underscore the ongoing political realignment seen across many districts in recent years, highlighting the dynamic nature of American politics at the local level.
Likely accurate — probability of truth 72%, weighted across 15 claims from 3 independent outlets.