Netanyahu's bloc leads but falls short of majority, as final vote tallies confirm.

The latest projections from the Israeli election show that while Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party and its allies are set to secure 53 seats in the 120-member Knesset, they have fallen short of achieving an outright majority, leaving the path to forming a government uncertain. 1234
With a high voter turnout of 77.7%, marking the highest in over two decades, the election results reflect a significant shift from the previous Knesset, where Netanyahu’s bloc held 68 seats. This reduction of 15 seats underscores a notable decline in their parliamentary strength. 1
The election was notably influenced by the October 7th Hamas-led attacks and the ensuing conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, which dominated the campaign discourse. Security, military service, judicial reforms, and international standing were among the key issues debated by candidates. 1
Gadi Eisenkot’s bloc is projected to win 48 seats, and Arab-led parties are on track to capture 19 seats, indicating a diverse representation in the upcoming Knesset. 134
Despite these results, Netanyahu’s party has lodged claims of electoral fraud, alleging large-scale foreign interference from countries like Qatar and Turkey. However, these assertions have been refuted by Israeli authorities. 4
The final vote count shows that Likud received 27 seats, with other notable parties such as United Torah Judaism (UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and Religious Zionism Party (RZP) securing 7, 7, 6, and 6 seats respectively. On the other side, Yashar won 21 seats, B'Yachad 12, The Democrats 8, and Yisrael Beytenu 7. Additionally, the Joint List secured 11 seats, and Ra'am received 8 seats. 4
President Isaac Herzog will now consult with various political factions to determine who has the best chance to form a government, a process that is likely to take several weeks. Once a coalition is formed, a prime minister will be selected. 15
Absentee ballots, comprising around 10% of the total votes, are currently being counted, including those from approximately 480,000 individuals such as soldiers and diplomats. These votes are not expected to change the overall outcome. The final tally is anticipated to be completed by Thursday afternoon, with the official results due on November 4th. 45
Likely accurate — probability of truth 78%, weighted across 24 claims from 6 independent outlets. Since the first report: 72% → 78%, outlets 4 → 6.