Chris Sununu Predicts Republican Loss in Texas Senate Race
Former New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu forecasts a Democratic victory in the upcoming Texas Senate contest.
Former New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu has made waves by predicting that Republican Ken Paxton will lose to his Democratic rival, James Talarico, in the upcoming Texas Senate race. This forecast comes as part of a broader discussion where Sununu also shared insights on the current political climate and the challenges facing his party.
Sununu, who now serves as the president of Airlines for America, recently appeared on NewsNation’s Chris Cuomo show to discuss various topics, including the rising costs of air travel. During this interview, which took place before the midterm elections, Sununu offered his analysis on the political landscape, highlighting potential shifts in power and regional dynamics within the Republican Party.
In addition to his prediction for Texas, Sununu provided context from his recent experience observing a New Hampshire Senate debate featuring candidates Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu. Both contenders demonstrated a willingness to challenge their party’s positions, indicating a trend of independent thinking among some Republican hopefuls. Notably, neither candidate expressed support for President Trump, suggesting a divergence from traditional party loyalty.
These observations underscore a complex picture for the Republican Party, with internal divisions and regional variations potentially influencing electoral outcomes. As the Texas Senate race approaches, the prediction by Chris Sununu adds another layer of intrigue to the national political narrative, hinting at possible realignments and upsets in traditionally Republican strongholds.
What we know
- - Chris Sununu predicted a Democratic win in the Texas Senate race against Republican Ken Paxton. 3
- - He participated in a New Hampshire Senate debate alongside candidates Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu. 1
- - Both candidates showed readiness to oppose their parties. 1
- - Neither candidate expressed support for President Trump. 1
- - Chris Sununu is the former governor of New Hampshire. 13
- - He currently works as the president at Airlines for America. 2
- - Sununu discussed rising air travel costs on 'The Takeout' before the midterms. 2
- - His prediction was made during an interview with NewsNation’s Chris Cuomo. 3
Verification report
Likely accurate — probability of truth 72%, weighted across 9 claims from 3 independent outlets.
- likely Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu participated in a New Hampshire Senate debate. (72%)
- likely Both candidates expressed readiness to oppose their respective parties. (72%)
- likely Neither candidate had positive remarks about President Trump. (72%)
- likely Chris Sununu predicts that Republican Ken Paxton will lose to Democrat James Talarico in the upcoming Texas Senate race. (70%)
- confirmed Chris Sununu is the former governor of New Hampshire. (85%)
- likely Chris Sununu currently holds the position of president at Airlines for America. (71%)
- likely Sununu discussed the rising costs of air travel on 'The Takeout'. (71%)
- likely The interview about air travel costs took place before the midterms. (71%)
- likely The prediction about the Texas Senate race was made during an interview with NewsNation’s Chris Cuomo on a Thursday night. (70%)
Sources
- NYT U.S. — Five Takeaways From the New Hampshire Senate Debate
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/29/us/politics/pappas-sununu-new-hampshire-senate-debate.html - CBS News — Former New Hampshire governor Chris Sununu on airline prices and regulation
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/former-new-hampshire-governor-chris-sununu-on-airline-prices-and-regulation/ - The Hill Home — Chris Sununu: 'Texas is in trouble for Republicans'
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6184054-sununu-predicts-texas-senatorial-loss/